Current projects

Currently, my academic research focuses on the early origins of adult human capital. Specifically, I am analysing how childhood health is affected by the way that government transfers are designed and administered. I have three ongoing projects:

  1. ‘Income & Immunity: The consequences of a pre- and neo-natal income shock on childhood infection risk’ (with Stefanie Schurer) – summary of initial results available here.
  2. ‘Does welfare conditionality improve community-level outcomes? Evidence from Australia’s cashless welfare trials’
  3. ‘Seasonal patterns in newborns’ health: quantifying the roles of climate, communicable disease, economic and social factors’, Under review (working paper available on request).

I also work on measurement of poverty and inequality in the UK, and how this is affected by the tax and transfer system. Through a project with Policy in Practice and the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, we are working to update, improve and publish my measure of real-time poverty rates in London. I am also developing the analytical capacity of Policy in Practice’s microsimulation model, to estimate effective marginal tax rates across the income distribution in the UK, analysing the way that central government policy interacts with support from local government.


Haddon, L, Cino, D and Doyle, M-A, ‘The challenges of conducting systematic evidence reviews: A case study of factors shaping children’s digital skills‘, Bulletin of Sociological Methodology, 2023

Doyle, M-A, Schurer, S, Silburn, S, ‘Unintended consequences of welfare reform: Evidence from birthweight of Aboriginal children in Australia’, Journal of Health Economics, vol. 84, 2022

Haddon, L, Cino, D, Doyle, M-A, Livingstone, S, Mascheroni, G, Stoilova, M ‘Children’s and Young People’s Digital Skills: A Systematic Evidence Review‘, ySkills project, Nov 2020.

Doyle, M-A, ‘Consumer Credit Card Choice: Costs, Benefits and Behavioural Biases’, RBA Research Discussion Paper 2018-11.

Doyle, M-A, Fisher, C, Tellez, E and Yadav, A, ‘How Australians Pay: Evidence from the 2016 Consumer Payments Survey’, RBA Research Discussion Paper 2017-04.